Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 20.520213 23.275050 26.276138 29.790452 33.795934 38.222530 43.490393
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.247429 19.762282 23.875060 29.050946 35.403167 42.960650 52.658564
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.471461 17.448013 22.410619 29.077511 37.830052 48.970945 64.295476
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.474277 15.760084 21.441368 29.558160 40.916096 56.332406 78.994731
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.745863 14.144845 20.316898 29.663337 43.559067 63.612180 95.031688
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.638420 13.214910 19.994411 30.851440 47.965372 74.174481 117.872344
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.502118 12.057434 19.159108 31.149298 51.127591 83.504287 140.794390
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.349852 10.686562 17.777982 30.359974 52.449683 90.216733 160.934921
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.489129 9.651256 16.773596 30.024358 54.484989 98.517998 185.608530
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.991151 9.157215 16.608996 31.131173 59.291961 112.626844 223.988618
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.610249 8.811096 16.651936 32.632553 65.135786 129.810889 272.190152
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.137273 8.214560 16.133945 32.968051 68.780781 143.445012 316.282928
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.570129 7.357245 15.004953 31.946292 69.616292 151.854669 351.946442
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.087441 6.593299 13.942282 30.881272 70.188278 159.914722 389.058380
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.750337 6.082341 13.327860 30.695221 72.733768 173.037562 441.855339
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.497644 5.715161 12.967131 31.030368 76.606683 190.204572 509.555083
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.252440 5.324286 12.488872 31.002511 79.614382 205.980183 578.021695
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.106752 5.144227 12.475393 32.131513 85.856032 231.567661 681.136759
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.925981 4.848148 12.131414 32.349638 89.744547 251.796962 774.551600
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.712352 4.433614 11.421424 31.456746 90.378152 263.114335 844.116173
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.548178 4.120588 10.921942 31.051740 92.346989 278.837429 932.620358
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.464236 4.009231 10.943554 32.150885 99.095424 310.773333 1085.562323
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.401856 3.947283 11.091960 33.663946 107.511168 350.147744 1277.373516